After ceasefire, negotiating a lasting deal with Iran would require overcoming regional rivalries and strategic incoherence

A decade of shifting regional alliances, continuous conflict and outside interventions have narrowed the path for diplomacy.

By: Ioana Emy Matesan, Wesleyan University, The Conversation

Outlets: The Conversation

Published: April 9, 2026

Words: 1,383

Last Updated: 3 months, 3 weeks ago

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By Ioana Emy Matesan, Wesleyan University

President Donald Trump’s rapid and dramatic turn from threatening to kill “an entire civilization” in Iran on the morning of April 7, 2026, to announcing a two-week ceasefire later that day left many observers with a sense of whiplash.

While it is difficult to predict whether the ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran will hold or how events will unfold, the dynamics of the conflict so …

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