Mildly blue or a blue tsunami? 9 states will decide if Dems flip control of U.S. Senate

By: Jacob Fischler, Jonathan Shorman

Outlets: DC Bureau (States Newsroom)

Published: June 18, 2026

Words: 1,814

Last Updated: 6 days, 2 hours ago

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Democrats are growing hopeful they can recapture the U.S. Senate in this fall’s midterm elections amid President Donald Trump’s plummeting approval ratings.

But they still need nearly everything to break their way against a map that put them at a starting disadvantage, analysts and campaign officials say.

At the outset of this election cycle, Republicans appeared highly likely to hold their majority. Democrats would need to flip four seats, and competitive races this year are in …

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