Rebirth of the madman theory? Unpredictability isn’t what it was when it comes to foreign policy

During the Cold War, projecting a readiness to act erratically may have served a purpose. But it has diminishing returns if used too often.

By: Andrew Latham, Macalester College, The Conversation

Outlets: The Conversation

Published: January 26, 2026

Words: 990

Last Updated: 1 day, 16 hours ago

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By Andrew Latham, Macalester College

Tariffs are on, until they are not. Military force is an option … and then it’s off the table.

Erratic behavior and unpredictability is having a moment in foreign policy circles. In the White House and elsewhere, it is seemingly being viewed as a strategic asset rather than a weakness.

But it is far from a new strategy. Wild threats, sudden policy reversals and intentionally confusing language …

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