Two North Carolina US House races are now toss-ups, top forecaster says

By: Brandon Kingdollar

Outlets: North Carolina Newsline

Published: July 31, 2026

Words: 536

Last Updated: 2 days, 23 hours ago


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North Carolina Democrats are closing the gap in two key congressional races in the state, political forecasters say, despite a new district map passed last year aimed at boxing them out of close House seats.

Sabato’s Crystal Ball, one of the top-cited election forecasts in the U.S., updated its assessment of North Carolina’s 1st and 11th congressional districts from “Leans Republican” to “Toss-up.” They’re among 13 House seats in the country whose odds have moved …

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